TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Tour De France 2026: Green Jersey
polymarket

Who will win the 2026 Tour de France Green Jersey?

Volume:
$62,019

Mads Pedersen

 - Polymarket

Mads Pedersen - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 9:22 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Mads Pedersen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35,174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jasper Philipsen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tim Merlier

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,195
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Biniam Girmay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tadej Pogačar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Olav Kooij

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$346
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lennert Van Eetvelt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$243
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ben O'Connor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tom Pidcock

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ben Healy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brandon McNulty

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Michael Storer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Antonio Tiberi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jai Hindley

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Florian Lipowitz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jonas Vingegaard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cian Uijtdebroeks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Richard Carapaz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lenny Martinez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kévin Vauquelin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ilan Van Wilder

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Valentin Paret-Peintre

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Warren Barguil

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Arnaud De Lie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Michael Matthews

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 122

Description

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Green Jersey for the 2026 Tour De France. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by UCI rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UCI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Green Jersey for the 2026 Tour De France. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by UCI rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UCI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Tour de France green jersey market displays real-time odds and price history for predicting who will win cycling's most prestigious points classification at the 2026 Tour. Traders can monitor current implied probabilities, recent trading activity, and historical price movements to assess market sentiment around contenders for the green jersey. The platform aggregates all trades on this specific outcome, giving you a live snapshot of how the prediction community is pricing each rider's chances throughout the lead-up to the event.

Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different trader bases and incentive structures. On Polymarket, odds are set by traders risking real capital, creating a market-driven price discovery mechanism. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue attracts sharper information first. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning itself ahead of the race.

On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares that represent each rider's probability of winning the green jersey. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective belief of all participants, with each trade updating the implied odds in real time. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information, and wider bid-ask spreads may appear during low-activity periods. This continuous price discovery mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to breaking news, rider form, and tactical developments leading up to the race.

This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, once the 2026 Tour de France concludes and the green jersey winner is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources reporting the final points classification standings. Resolution depends on the official race results and the rider who accumulates the most points across all stages. No adjustments are made after the final stage is complete and the winner is officially announced by race organizers.

Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before the race begins and during the event itself. Rider injuries, team roster announcements, and pre-race form in spring classics will influence trader positioning. Early-stage results during the Tour can dramatically repricing favorites if unexpected riders dominate the points competition. Weather, course design, and tactical team strategies also play roles. Major news about a contender's health, withdrawal, or standout performances in lead-up races will typically trigger sharp price movements as the market reprices its expectations.