TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 6:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of individual golfers during the first three rounds of a prestigious tournament. Each market focuses on whether a specific player achieves a high ranking, reflecting their competitive standing early in the competition.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified golfer finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first three rounds of the 2026 TOUR Championship. If the golfer does not participate, the market resolves to Fair Market Price if the withdrawal occurs before teeing off, and to No if it occurs after. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each participant's performance in the tournament.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers post bids and asks. The current implied chance reflects the balance of these orders, showing what the market collectively believes about each golfer’s prospects. Liquidity levels, represented by volume of $6,275, also influence how efficiently prices adjust to new information.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official tournament results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final standings after round three will determine which players finish in the top ten, and the market will settle accordingly based on those results.
Several factors could shift this market before Aug 29, 2026. Key golf tournament performance updates, such as player injuries or changes in form during practice rounds, often influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions that affect scoring difficulty may also cause swings. Additionally, betting trends on Kalshi—like large trades or volume spikes—can move implied probabilities quickly. Finally, media narratives surrounding top contenders, including interviews or pre-tournament rankings, sometimes create momentum that impacts market positioning. Traders should monitor real-time news and in-play dynamics as the event progresses.