TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 6:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Chris Gotterup will shoot under 67.5 in Round 3 of the 2026 TOUR Championship on Kalshi, with the current probability set at 81%. The resolution source is based on official scoring from the tournament. With the round scheduled to conclude on September 1, 2026, all eyes will be on Gotterup's performance as the event window closes, marking the key moment to determine the outcome of this market.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified golfer completes Round 3 of the 2026 TOUR Championship with a score under the stated threshold. If the golfer does not finish the round, the market resolves to a fair market price at the time of withdrawal. All markets operate independently, with resolution contingent solely on the player's actual score for that round, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the PGA or its associated entities.
On Kalshi, traders in the TOUR Championship Round 3 scores market set odds based on their expectations of player performance and course conditions. These prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines, which incorporate bookmaker margins and broader public betting trends. Prediction markets may reflect sharper insights or early reactions to practice round performances, weather updates, or player health news. Sportsbook odds, meanwhile, balance these factors with a wider audience, sometimes lagging behind rapid market shifts. Comparing both gives a layered view of market sentiment versus broader betting interest ahead of Sep 1, 2026.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through their bids and offers, which determines the current implied probability for each possible score outcome in Round 3. The market price adjusts continuously based on trading volume and shifts in trader sentiment, reflecting the latest collective assessment of likely performance by competitors.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Round 3 scores are verified against credible public sources. The final scores reported by authoritative golf organizations will determine which market outcome is settled, bringing closure to trader positions based on actual tournament results.