TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC
Volume:
$7,562,169
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Premier League match between Tottenham Hotspur FC and Crystal Palace FC scheduled for March 5, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Tottenham win, a Crystal Palace win, or a draw, all determined within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Market structure divergence between platforms. Polymarket uses independent binary markets for each outcome; Kalshi uses mutually exclusive outcome confirmation markets. Both reference identical match conditions and resolution sources, but the logical framework differs.Hero Tip:
Both platforms will resolve based on the same match result and timing (90 minutes plus stoppage time, official Premier League statistics within 2 hours). The divergence is structural, not substantive. Ensure you understand your platform's payout model: on Polymarket, you are betting Yes or No on each outcome independently; on Kalshi, you are confirming which outcome occurred. The underlying match resolution is unified.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three independent binary markets. Crystal Palace Win resolves Yes if Palace wins, No otherwise. Draw resolves Yes if match ends level, No otherwise. Tottenham Win resolves Yes if Spurs win, No otherwise. Cancellation with no makeup: Draw resolves Yes, others resolve No. Source: Official Premier League statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcome markets. Each market resolves Yes if its outcome occurs (Tottenham Win, Draw, or Crystal Palace Win). Exactly one market resolves Yes per match. Presented as outcome confirmation rather than independent binary bets. Same resolution source and timing as Polymarket.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.