TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 8:24 PM EST
Kalshi
In a Major League Baseball game between Toronto and Washington, the first inning determines whether either team manages to score any runs. Early scoring can set the tone for the entire game and provide an immediate advantage to the offensive team.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a sharper, more nuanced view of probabilities shaped by trader insights and real-time data. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader team performance and historical trends, this market zeroes in on the specific question of who scores first, allowing for faster adjustments to breaking news or lineup changes.
This market resolves around Jul 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether Toronto or Washington scores the first run in the first inning of the game, as officially recorded in the box score and widely reported by sports news outlets.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute lineup changes, weather delays or adjustments, pitcher performance updates, and pre-game betting trends. Any development that alters the perceived advantage for either team in the first inning — such as an injury to a starting pitcher or a sudden shift in betting momentum — may cause rapid price movements on Kalshi as traders react.