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Toronto vs San Francisco: Total Runs
kalshi

Will the total runs in Toronto vs San Francisco exceed the threshold?

Volume:
$1,327,625

Over 7.5 runs scored

 - Kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 8, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 12:19 AM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$256,520
N/A
N/A
$161,304
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$245,045
N/A
N/A
$105,787
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 8.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$86,751
N/A
N/A
$49,264
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 10.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$74,465
N/A
N/A
$36,503
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$66,830
N/A
N/A
$46,148
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,720
N/A
N/A
$13,505
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 6.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,826
N/A
N/A
$7,170
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,406
N/A
N/A
$5,912
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 4.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,994
N/A
N/A
$6,563
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,082
N/A
N/A
$2,070
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,166
N/A
N/A
$1,166
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 12.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$178,361
N/A
N/A
$76,074
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 13.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$141,233
N/A
N/A
$63,244
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 14.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$119,826
N/A
N/A
$80,750
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 15.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$83,993
N/A
N/A
$60,588
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 16.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,173
N/A
N/A
$14,247
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 17.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,237
N/A
N/A
$943
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether Toronto and San Francisco will combine for more than 3.5 runs in their professional baseball matchup. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution is determined by the official combined run total from the game scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, as reported by the resolution source. Watch for the final score announcement on July 8, 2026, when the market will settle based on the teams' combined runs.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the final combined run total scored by Toronto and San Francisco in the professional baseball game scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific run threshold, with resolution to Yes if the combined total exceeds that threshold. The game's official final score, as recorded at the conclusion of all nine innings (or as determined by official baseball rules for game completion), determines the result.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Toronto-San Francisco total runs market displays real-time odds and price movements as traders buy and sell shares tied to the combined run total from this matchup. You can monitor current market sentiment, 24-hour trading volume, and historical price charts to see how expectations have shifted. The interface lets you track whether the market is pricing in a higher or lower-scoring game, giving you a live snapshot of collective trader conviction on this specific outcome.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may price the total runs outcome differently than a traditional sportsbook, offering an alternative gauge of probability. Comparing the two can reveal where sharp traders see value or where public perception differs from market consensus.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing different run-total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy or sell, the price adjusts to reflect the current probability consensus. Each share's price directly represents the implied likelihood of that outcome occurring, so watching the bid-ask spread and trade flow gives you insight into conviction and liquidity around the total runs prediction.

This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the game concludes and the final run total is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the combined runs scored by both teams across all innings. Once the official result is confirmed, the market settles automatically based on whether the actual total falls above or below the threshold specified in this market's terms.

Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and injury updates for either team's star players. Weather conditions at game time—wind speed, temperature, and humidity—significantly affect ball carry and scoring pace. Recent offensive and defensive trends, bullpen strength, and head-to-head matchup history can all shift trader expectations about the run total. Breaking news on team roster changes or venue-specific factors closer to game day may also trigger sharp repricing as new information reaches the market.