TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Toronto vs San Francisco: Spread
kalshi

What is the spread result of Toronto vs San Francisco?

Volume:
$563,522

Blue Jays wins by over 5.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Blue Jays wins by over 5.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 8, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 12:19 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Blue Jays wins by over 5.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$131,538
N/A
N/A
$64,210
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Blue Jays wins by over 4.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$126,447
N/A
N/A
$73,152
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toronto wins by over 1.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$75,388
N/A
N/A
$48,527
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toronto wins by over 3.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$61,774
N/A
N/A
$24,920
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toronto wins by over 2.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$61,086
N/A
N/A
$23,204
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Blue Jays wins by over 6.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,601
N/A
N/A
$28,651
Settled
No
kalshi

San Francisco wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,739
N/A
N/A
$23,210
Settled
No
kalshi

San Francisco wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,713
N/A
N/A
$6,389
Settled
No
kalshi

Blue Jays wins by over 7.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,561
N/A
N/A
$8,739
Settled
No
kalshi

San Francisco wins by over 3.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,701
N/A
N/A
$5,085
Settled
No
kalshi

Blue Jays wins by over 8.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$515
N/A
N/A
$495
Settled
No
kalshi

Blue Jays wins by over 9.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$458
N/A
N/A
$457
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This baseball game between Toronto and San Francisco on July 7, 2026 will be analyzed for the margin of victory. Bettors can wager on whether one team will win by more than a specified number of runs.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the final margin of victory in the professional baseball game scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT. Each market outcome specifies which team must win and by how many runs, with resolution to Yes if that team wins by more than the specified margin. The game's official final score determines the winning team and the run differential between them.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Toronto vs San Francisco spread market. You can monitor the current price, view the 24-hour volume of $462,727, and observe how traders are positioning themselves on the spread outcome. The interface displays historical price movements, allowing you to see how sentiment has shifted as new information emerges. This live data helps traders understand market conviction and identify potential value before the event concludes.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders who profit by forecasting accurately. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, particularly as game day approaches and new information surfaces. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Kalshi sees value that bookmakers have priced differently.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different spread outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective belief of active traders at any moment. As new developments occur—injuries, lineup changes, or betting trends—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays responsive to real-world information throughout the trading period.

This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the Toronto versus San Francisco game concludes and the final spread is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources reporting the official result and point differential. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact resolution timing depends on when the game finishes and the score is officially recorded.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, injury reports, and betting line movements from major sportsbooks, which often signal sharp money entering the market. Weather conditions, travel schedules, and team momentum shifts can also influence trader positioning. Media narratives and expert predictions may sway sentiment, particularly as game day approaches. Trading volume spikes typically occur during significant news drops or in the final hours before kickoff, when late-arriving information drives repricing across the spread.