TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 11:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between Toronto and San Francisco on July 7, 2026 will be analyzed for the winner after exactly seven innings of play. Bettors can wager on whether Toronto, San Francisco, or neither team will be ahead after seven complete innings.
Resolution is determined by the score at the end of the first seven innings of the professional baseball game scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT. If Toronto has more runs than San Francisco after seven innings, the Toronto outcome resolves to Yes. If San Francisco has more runs than Toronto after seven innings, the San Francisco outcome resolves to Yes. If both teams have equal runs after seven innings, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes and all team outcomes resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Traders in this market may incorporate real-time information, injury reports, or weather updates faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Kalshi sees value relative to conventional betting markets, though both should be evaluated independently based on your own analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability traders assign to that outcome, ranging from near-zero to near-100 cents. As new information emerges or trading activity shifts, prices adjust in real time. You can place limit or market orders to enter or exit positions, and the spread between bid and ask prices represents the current liquidity and consensus around the first seven innings result.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the first seven innings of the Toronto versus San Francisco game are complete and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team has more runs at the end of the seventh inning. Resolution occurs shortly after the game milestone is confirmed, allowing traders to settle their positions. Until that point, prices may fluctuate based on live game developments, betting action, and evolving expectations about the final score through seven innings.
Several catalysts can shift prices in this market before resolution. Injury announcements or late roster changes for either team can alter perceived strength. Weather conditions at game time—wind, temperature, or precipitation—affect ball carry and pitcher performance. Betting action and sharp money flowing into one side often triggers momentum moves. Live game developments, such as early runs, pitching changes, or defensive plays, will drive real-time repricing as traders update their expectations for the final seven-inning score. Media coverage and expert commentary can also influence trader sentiment and order flow.