TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 12:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks individual team run totals for both Toronto and San Diego in their July 10, 2026 professional baseball game. Bettors predict whether each team will score above various run thresholds independently.
The Toronto vs San Diego game scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT will be evaluated for individual team run production. San Diego's scoring is assessed across thresholds of 1.5 through 7.5 runs, resolving to Yes if the team scores at or above the specified level. Toronto's scoring is similarly assessed across thresholds of 1.5 through 7.5 runs. Each team's performance is evaluated independently based on the final official score at the end of the complete game, with all thresholds determined by the actual runs scored by each respective team.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms and player bases. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets let traders freely set prices based on their beliefs about the outcome. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, depending on trader conviction and volume. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Kalshi sees value relative to conventional betting venues, though both are valid pricing signals for the same underlying event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for contracts tied to specific team total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move in real time as new orders arrive and existing ones are filled, reflecting the collective forecast of active traders. The platform displays the spread between the best bid and ask, allowing participants to execute trades immediately or wait for more favorable pricing. Contract prices range from $0 to $1, with the difference representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the game concludes and the final team totals are confirmed. The outcome is determined by verified public reporting of the official score, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the event ending, allowing quick settlement and payout. Traders should monitor credible sports data sources in the lead-up to confirm the exact timing and any potential delays.
Key catalysts for this market include injury announcements, lineup changes, and recent team performance trends. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history can all influence scoring expectations. Breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions often triggers sharp price movements as traders reassess probabilities. Additionally, early-game momentum and live scoring updates may prompt traders to adjust positions, especially if one team establishes an early lead or falls behind, shifting expectations for the final combined total.