TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 10:11 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many goals will be scored in a professional MLS soccer match between Toronto and Nashville. Outcomes depend on whether the total goals exceed specific thresholds after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Toronto versus Nashville professional MLS soccer game scheduled for September 9, 2026, counting only goals scored during the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count toward any outcome. Each market has a different threshold: if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same core resolution criteria but differ only in their threshold values.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or starting goalie announcements – the prediction market may react more quickly and efficiently than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see this market converge towards the ‘true’ probability as the event approaches, potentially offering value compared to initial sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the likely total goals scored. The market depth – the number of contracts available at different price points – indicates the strength of conviction behind various outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Toronto versus Nashville game, as officially recorded by the NHL, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. The final score will be the definitive factor in settling this market, providing a clear result based on the actual event.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury news regarding key players on either the Toronto or Nashville teams would be a major catalyst. Changes in starting goalies, particularly if a highly-rated goalie is replaced, could also shift the market. Unexpected weather conditions, although less likely for an indoor sport, could indirectly impact player performance. Finally, any significant news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also lead to movement in this market as traders adjust their expectations for the total goals scored.