TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 9:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the second half performance of a women's professional basketball game between Toronto and Connecticut. It resolves based on which team scores the most points during that specific half of regulation time, excluding overtime. If the half ends in a tie, the market resolves accordingly.
The market determines the winner of the second half (excluding overtime) in the specified women's Pro Basketball game. Points scored during the half alone are considered; if both teams score equally, all team outcomes resolve to No and the Tie outcome resolves to Yes. Postponements or delays within two days keep the market open, while cancellations or reschedules beyond this window lead to a fair price resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks may also adjust their odds more slowly than Kalshi’s market, where prices change rapidly with each trade. While sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each team winning the second half, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as the event approaches. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events impact the perceived likelihood of outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the second half of the Toronto versus Connecticut game will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either Toronto or Connecticut would likely have a significant impact. Game-day reports about team morale or strategic adjustments could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected performance from key players during the first half of the game could also cause a rapid reassessment of probabilities. Furthermore, major shifts in public perception, even those unrelated to concrete game information, can influence trading activity and move the market.