TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 10:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Toronto and Chicago Fire. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various scoring outcomes. The resolution depends solely on the official match result after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined in the Toronto versus Chicago Fire professional MLS soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026. The determining factor is the score after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. Each market has a specific threshold: if the cumulative goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5, the respective market settles to 'Yes.' Thresholds represent the minimum number of goals required for a 'Yes' outcome, meaning any score meeting or surpassing the threshold triggers resolution as 'Yes,' while scores below result in 'No.' All markets share identical timing and scoring criteria, differing only in their goal count requirements. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, the current probability reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may offer different implied probabilities based on their models and risk management, this market provides a dynamic, community-driven price that updates continuously with new information and trading volume. The difference often comes down to methodology — sportsbooks incorporate broader analytics and adjustments for various factors, whereas this market captures real-time trader expectations. As Sep 6, 2026 approaches, shifts in either space could influence where each sets its odds.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score — specifically the total number of goals scored by both teams — will determine which side of this market is settled as the winner, based on official match records.
Several key developments could impact this market before Sep 6, 2026. Injuries to star players, weather conditions affecting match play, or strategic changes by coaches may shift expectations about scoring. High-profile performances or recent form from either team’s attackers can also influence trader sentiment. As the match nears, any last-minute roster updates or tactical announcements may cause rapid adjustments. Keep an eye on pre-game news, injury reports, and tactical analysis, all of which can create volatility in this market’s pricing right up to resolution.