TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 9:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Toronto will score more than 1.5 runs in their matchup against Baltimore. On Kalshi, the probability of Yes stands at 88.0%. Resolution is determined by the official final score of the Toronto vs Baltimore professional baseball game scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT, as reported by the resolution source. Watch the starting pitchers announced for both teams and early offensive performance during the game itself, as these factors will directly influence whether Toronto's run total clears the 1.5-run threshold.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker spreads. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance liability; prediction markets update continuously as new information and bets flow in. For Toronto vs Baltimore: Team Total, the Kalshi market may price outcomes differently than major sportsbooks, especially as game time approaches or breaking news emerges. Comparing the two reveals whether professional traders or casual bettors are more bullish on either team's offensive output, offering a complementary view to conventional betting lines.
The Toronto vs Baltimore: Team Total market resolves at May 29, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official statistics from the game, specifically whether each team's total runs scored meets or exceeds the predetermined threshold set by Kalshi. Once the game concludes and official scoring is confirmed, the market settles automatically, and winning contracts are credited at one dollar per share. Traders should monitor for any official scoring corrections or disputes that may affect final settlement.
Key catalysts for Toronto vs Baltimore: Team Total include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and injury updates to star hitters or pitchers. Weather conditions at game time—wind direction, temperature, and humidity—significantly affect ball carry and run scoring. Recent offensive form, bullpen health, and head-to-head matchup history between these teams can shift trader expectations. Breaking news about roster changes, trades, or player availability in the days before May 29, 2026 may trigger sharp repricing. Live game developments, such as early scoring or pitching changes, will also influence contract prices as the event unfolds.