TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 8:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Toronto and Baltimore will combine for more than 1.5 runs during the first five innings of their matchup. On Kalshi, the probability of exceeding 1.5 combined runs stands at 99.0%, with resolution determined by the official box score from MLB. The market settles based on the actual run total recorded in the first five innings of the game originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed bookmaker pricing. Sportsbooks adjust lines to manage liability and lock in margins, while prediction markets update continuously as new information emerges. For the Toronto vs Baltimore first 5 innings total, the Kalshi market may price the outcome differently than major sportsbooks, offering traders an alternative view of true probability based on decentralized participant opinion.
The market resolves on May 29, 2026, shortly after the conclusion of the first five innings of the Toronto vs Baltimore game. Resolution is determined by the official combined run total recorded by both teams during that specific inning window. Once the fifth inning concludes and the official score is confirmed, the contract settles to reflect the actual outcome. Traders holding positions on the correct side of the bet receive their payout based on the final tally.
Several factors can shift odds before the game begins and during the first five innings. Lineup announcements, injury reports to key batters or pitchers, weather conditions at the stadium, and recent team performance trends all influence market pricing. Once play starts, early offensive performance—hits, walks, and scoring opportunities—will drive rapid repricing. Pitcher effectiveness in the opening innings and defensive plays can also trigger significant odds movement. Traders monitor these real-time developments to adjust positions as new information becomes available.