Toronto vs A's: Earned Runs

Kalshi

The official rules for these markets dictate that settlement is contingent upon the designated pitchers—Jacob Lopez and Dylan Cease—recording specific thresholds of earned runs during their starting appearances in the Toronto vs. A's game scheduled for September 7, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the named pitcher must be a starting pitcher, face at least one batter, and allow the specified number of earned runs. If a pitcher is scratched or does not start, the market resolves at fair market price, meaning no payout occurs beyond reflective pricing. Relief appearances, where a pitcher enters the game after the start, are explicitly excluded from consideration for all markets, ensuring only starting pitcher performance counts. These rules apply uniformly across all markets tied to this game, maintaining consistency in evaluation criteria and preventing ambiguity in settlement.