TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Toronto FC vs. FC Cincinnati
Volume:
$581,905
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official MLS match outcome on April 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official MLS Soccer statistics (mlssoccer.com) as recognized by the governing body; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves YES if FC Cincinnati wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Market resolves YES if Toronto FC wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Exactly ONE of the three outcomes (Cincinnati win, Toronto win, or draw) will occur and resolve its corresponding market to YES; the other two resolve to NO.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Cincinnati-win and Toronto-win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the game is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until the match is played. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match concludes.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES while win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's tie market also resolves YES. This asymmetry is intentional per platform rules.
- Extra Time and Penalties: Both platforms explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts from resolution scope. Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time determines the outcome.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official MLS publication of final match statistics within 2 hours after the match concludes. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours, resolution is based on consensus of credible reporting.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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