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$134.1b

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402,751

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2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
polymarket
predict

Who will win Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners?

Volume:
$931,241

Spread -1.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -1.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 5:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$23,455
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,983
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,928
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$519,417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners

View
N/A
N/A
—
$393
$3,945
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$330,273
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,765
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,681
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$628
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the July 5, 5:00 PM ET matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners, including both the game winner and first-inning scoring. The consensus probability across Polymarket and Predict shows 100.0% for the over/under 3.5 runs market. Resolution will be determined by official MLB final statistics as published on mlb.com, or by consensus of credible reporting sources if official data is unavailable within 24 hours post-game. Watch for the final out on July 5 to see how run production aligns with market expectations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution criteria, edge-case handling, and primary source authority.Primary resolution logic: Official MLB final statistics as published on mlb.com; if unavailable within 24 hours post-game, consensus of credible reporting sources.

Core resolution logic:

  • Game Winner Market: Resolves to Toronto Blue Jays if they win; resolves to Seattle Mariners if they win.
  • First Inning Run Market: Resolves Yes if at least one run is scored by either team in the 1st inning; resolves No if zero runs score in the 1st inning.
  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed; check the home team schedule on mlb.com for makeup game details.
  • Cancellation or Tie: If the game is canceled with no makeup game scheduled, or if the game ends in a tie, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • Source Hierarchy: Official MLB final statistics are authoritative; credible reporting consensus is used only if official statistics are not published within 24 hours of game conclusion.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, markets remain open and unresolved until the makeup game is completed. Resolution occurs based on the makeup game result.
  • Cancellation with No Makeup: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split evenly between all outcomes).
  • Tie Game: If the game ends in a tie, the game winner market resolves 50-50. The first inning run market resolves based on actual runs scored in the 1st inning regardless of final tie outcome.
  • Delayed Official Statistics: If MLB does not publish official final statistics within 24 hours of game conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources (e.g., major sports news outlets).
Timing: Resolution occurs after the game concludes and official MLB statistics are published, or within 24 hours post-game if official statistics are unavailable and credible reporting consensus is used.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for July 5 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for July 5 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate differently from traditional sportsbooks. Rather than a bookmaker setting fixed odds, traders themselves determine prices through continuous buying and selling, creating a dynamic market that often reflects real-time information flow. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate dispersed knowledge from many participants. This can result in prediction market prices moving faster or reflecting different risk assessments, especially as new information emerges closer to game time.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence how prices form. Polymarket may have deeper liquidity in this particular matchup, allowing larger positions to move prices less dramatically, while Predict might reflect a smaller but more concentrated group of traders with different information or risk appetite. Arbitrage opportunities between platforms are typically small and fleeting, as sophisticated traders exploit and close gaps quickly.

Key catalysts include injury announcements to star players, bullpen changes, recent team performance trends, and weather conditions on game day. Betting action from sharp money or public sentiment shifts can also drive rapid repricing. Late-breaking lineup news, trades, or managerial decisions in the days before the matchup often trigger volatility. Monitoring sports news outlets and team social media alongside this market's price action will help you anticipate moves before they're fully reflected in trader positioning.