TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Sports
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
predict
polymarket

Who will win Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners?

Volume:
$525,348

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 4, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 10:10 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$380,337
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners

N/A
N/A
—
$3,001
$2,085
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$33,824
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$222
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$102,772
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,664
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$570
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$548
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 23

Description

This event group covers an MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners scheduled for July 3 at 10:10 PM ET. Markets track both the match winner and whether a run will be scored in the first inning, with consistent resolution logic across platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms apply identical resolution criteria for match winner and first-inning run markets, with consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, and ties.Primary resolution logic: Official MLB final statistics as published on MLB.com; if unavailable within 24 hours of game conclusion, consensus of credible reporting sources

Core resolution logic:

  • Match Winner: Resolves to Toronto Blue Jays if they win; resolves to Seattle Mariners if they win
  • First Inning Run: Resolves Yes if at least one run is scored by either team in the 1st inning; resolves No if zero runs score in the 1st inning
  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed; makeup game date is tracked via MLB.com home team schedule
  • Cancellation: If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, both markets resolve 50-50
  • Tie Game: Match winner market resolves 50-50 if the game ends in a tie

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponed Game: Market remains open. Resolution is delayed until the makeup game is played. Bettors should monitor MLB.com home team schedule for makeup game date and time.
  • Canceled Game (No Makeup): Both match winner and first-inning run markets resolve 50-50 if the game is canceled with no makeup game scheduled.
  • Tie Game: Match winner market resolves 50-50. First-inning run market resolves based on whether runs were actually scored in the 1st inning, independent of final game outcome.
  • Delayed Official Statistics: If MLB.com does not publish final statistics within 24 hours of game conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources (e.g., ESPN, MLB.com news, official team sources).
Timing: Resolution occurs after the game concludes and official MLB statistics are published (target: within 24 hours of game end). For postponed games, resolution is delayed until the makeup game is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for July 3 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for July 3 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events through fundamentally different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects real-time trader positioning rather than a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where public perception diverges from professional oddsmaking, often highlighting value opportunities or consensus shifts that haven't yet moved traditional betting markets.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence price discovery. Polymarket may reflect institutional or high-volume trader activity, while Predict could show retail or specialized participant preferences. Timing differences in information flow, platform-specific UI friction, and varying settlement rule interpretations also create temporary arbitrage windows. Monitoring both venues helps you identify whether price gaps reflect genuine disagreement or simply market microstructure effects.

Key catalysts include injury announcements affecting either team's roster, lineup changes, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, and pre-game betting action from sharp money. Trades or roster moves in the days leading up to the game can shift trader positioning significantly. Real-time updates during the matchup itself—such as early scoring, pitching changes, or momentum swings—will drive sharp repricing. Monitoring team news, weather, and early-inning action provides the best early signals for anticipating market movement before resolution.