TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants
predict
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Toronto Blue Jays vs San Francisco Giants?

Volume:
$912,954

Toronto over 3.5 runs scored

 - Kalshi

Toronto over 3.5 runs scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 8, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 12:19 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toronto over 3.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,112
N/A
N/A
$8,229
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toronto over 7.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,265
N/A
N/A
$3,819
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Francisco over 2.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,265
N/A
N/A
$862
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toronto over 4.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,071
N/A
N/A
$996
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toronto over 6.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,039
N/A
N/A
$795
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toronto over 2.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$857
N/A
N/A
$676
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Francisco over 1.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$651
N/A
N/A
$419
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toronto over 5.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$613
N/A
N/A
$475
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toronto over 1.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
$146
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$561,232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants

View
N/A
N/A
—
$10,042
$7,534
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$86,496
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$43,034
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34,482
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,956
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,706
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,609
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,071
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,945
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$3,275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 41

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of an MLB matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and San Francisco Giants scheduled for July 8, 2026. The aggregated consensus across Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket shows 100.0% probability for the event occurring. Resolution will be determined by official MLB statistics and records. Watch for any postponements or scheduling changes announced by MLB prior to the July 8, 2026 game time, as these could affect market settlement across platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scheduled game date and time differ across platforms (July 8 3:45 PM ET vs July 7 9:45 PM EDT), and Kalshi run-scoring markets lack explicit cancellation/tie resolution language present on Polymarket and Predict.Hero tip: Verify the official MLB game schedule before trading. The 24-hour time difference and timezone notation inconsistency suggest data entry errors. Kalshi markets are resolvable but carry higher ambiguity risk due to missing edge-case protocols; prioritize Polymarket/Predict markets for clarity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to team name if that team wins. First-inning run market resolves Yes/No based on any run scored in inning 1. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation/tie/no makeup resolves 50-50. Primary source: Official MLB statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Scheduled July 8 at 3:45 PM ET.
  • Predict: Moneyline market resolves to team name if that team wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation/tie/no makeup resolves 50-50. Primary source: Official MLB statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Scheduled July 8 at 3:45 PM ET.
  • Kalshi: Eight binary run-threshold markets (2+ through 8+ runs for each team). Each resolves Yes if the specified team reaches the threshold. Scheduled July 7 at 9:45 PM EDT. No explicit cancellation, tie, or postponement resolution language provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for July 8 at 3:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the individual run totals scored by San Francisco and Toronto in the professional baseball game scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific team and run threshold, with resolution to Yes if that team's total exceeds the specified threshold. The game's official final score, as recorded at the conclusion of all nine innings (or as determined by official baseball rules for game completion), determines each team's result.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for July 8 at 3:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus—buy and sell orders from participants who believe they can forecast the result accurately. This market aggregates real-money predictions, which often reflect sharper analysis than casual betting. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate additional factors like injury reports or weather updates closer to game time, so comparing both sources helps you identify where the smart money disagrees.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity levels, and fee structures, all of which influence how prices evolve. Polymarket may have deeper liquidity in certain outcomes, allowing large trades to move prices less dramatically, while Kalshi might see faster repricing due to a smaller but more active user base. Arbitrage opportunities between the two venues can persist if transaction costs or withdrawal delays make it uneconomical to trade both sides simultaneously, so price gaps are normal and often reflect real friction in the market.

Key catalysts include roster updates, injury announcements, and recent team performance trends leading up to game day. Weather conditions at the stadium, bullpen availability, and starting pitcher matchups often trigger significant repricing as traders reassess probabilities. Live game action—early runs, defensive plays, or momentum shifts—will drive rapid price movement during the contest itself. Additionally, any late-breaking news about player availability or strategic decisions by either team can shift market sentiment sharply, so monitoring sports news and team communications is essential for staying ahead of price changes.