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405,232

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs - First 5 Innings Winner
kalshi
polymarket

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs - First 5 Innings Winner

Volume:
$418,637

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 7:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$418,637
N/A
N/A
$395,492
Settled
No
polymarket

Toronto Blue Jays

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chicago Cubs

View
0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of the first 5 innings of the Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs MLB game, specifically focusing on which team is leading after 5 innings or if the game is tied.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Polymarket market refers to a Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs game on June 21, while the Kalshi market refers to a Boston vs. Toronto game on Aug 11, 2026. The resolution criteria and events are entirely unrelated.Hero tip: Do not treat these as related markets. The Polymarket market resolves based on the June 21 game outcomes after 5 innings, while the Kalshi market resolves based on first-inning scoring in an entirely different game scheduled for Aug 11, 2026.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs game on June 21 at 2:20 PM ET, determining the leader after 5 innings with options for Blue Jays, Cubs, or Draw.
  • Kalshi: Resolves if either team scores a run in the first inning of the Boston vs Toronto game scheduled for Aug 11, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for June 21 at 2:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Boston vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 11, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Injuries to key starters, last-minute lineup changes, weather delays affecting early gameplay, and pitcher performance metrics released before the first pitch could all shift this market. Traders will also react to any pre-game analysis or commentary that suggests one team’s early-game strength, as well as live updates once the first five innings begin, especially if scoring surges or pitching changes occur suddenly.