TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 2:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total runs scored in the first five innings of the MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Chicago Cubs will be over or under 3.5 runs. The current aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, "1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5," is 20.0%, with the second outcome, "1st 5 Innings Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)," at 20.0%, drawn from Kalshi, Predict, Opinion, and Polymarket, and resolves using official final statistics from Major League Baseball. Watch for the game on June 21 at 2:20 PM ET as this will determine the outcome.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for June 21 at 2:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
The markets resolve based on the outcome of the Toronto vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the markets remain open and will close after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled entirely or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard resolution procedures.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for June 21 at 2:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-06 18:20 UTC: If the Toronto Blue Jays win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays". If the Chicago Cubs win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or last-minute lineup changes could all shift this market as the game approaches. Starting pitcher announcements, umpires’ decisions affecting game length, and even betting trends on traditional books may influence trader sentiment. Volume spikes on either Polymarket or Predict often signal new information, so watching for sudden chance shifts or large trades can help anticipate how this market might evolve before it settles.