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406,019

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox

Volume:
$4,310,447

Toronto

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 17, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 9:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toronto

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,185,838
N/A
N/A
$1,265,929
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$676,129
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox

View
N/A
N/A
—
$904
$16,083
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$33,349
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,407
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,552
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,867
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,818
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$616
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Boston

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,295,791
N/A
N/A
$788,090
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,613
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,465
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,905
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,816
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$915
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$509
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks the over/under total runs scored in the June 16, 2026 MLB matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox. Across Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, the consensus probability for the over/under 4.5 runs outcome stands at 100.0%, aggregated from real-time odds on each platform. Resolution will be determined by official MLB statistics published at mlb.com. Watch for the game's final score on June 16, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET, which will settle all run-total predictions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Toronto win and Boston win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket and Predict use consistent, sound binary logic.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi until the market description is corrected. Polymarket and Predict markets are logically sound and use identical resolution criteria—these are safe to trade as a unified pair.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all market. Resolves to Toronto Blue Jays if Toronto wins, Boston Red Sox if Boston wins. Postponements keep market open; cancellations/ties resolve 50-50. Primary source: official MLB statistics within 24 hours, credible reporting as fallback.
  • Predict: Identical to Polymarket. Binary winner-take-all: Toronto Blue Jays if Toronto wins, Boston Red Sox if Boston wins. Postponements reopen; cancellations/ties resolve 50-50. Same primary source hierarchy.
  • Kalshi: CRITICAL FLAW: Market states 'If Toronto wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Boston wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No specification for No outcome or tie handling. Market is unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for June 16 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

This event covers the Toronto vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. Resolution depends on the final outcome of the game, with separate markets for each team's victory. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled entirely or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with established rules rather than waiting for a played game.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for June 16 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate independently of traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different liquidity pools and trader demographics. Prediction market odds for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox may diverge from sportsbook lines because they aggregate decentralized trader conviction rather than professional oddsmakers' models. Sportsbooks adjust for liability and hold margin; prediction markets price based on peer belief. Comparing both sources can reveal arbitrage opportunities or consensus gaps, particularly as game time nears and new information surfaces.

Key catalysts for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox odds include starting pitcher announcements, last-minute lineup changes, and injury updates to star players. Weather conditions at game time—wind speed, temperature, and humidity—significantly impact run-scoring predictions. Recent team form, head-to-head matchup history, and bullpen availability also drive trader sentiment. Breaking news on player health or roster moves can trigger sharp repricing across Polymarket and Kalshi. Monitor team social media and sports news outlets in the hours before first pitch for edge-moving information.