TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 8:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group concerns the first team to score in the Torino FC vs. Carrarese Calcio match scheduled for August 15, 2026. The markets will resolve based on which team scores first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, or if neither team scores.
In the upcoming match between Torino FC and Carrarese Calcio, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Torino FC" if Torino FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Carrarese Calcio" if Carrarese Calcio are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The event determines which team, if any, will score the first goal in the Botafogo FR RJ versus Fluminense FC RJ Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for August 8, 2026. If Botafogo scores the opening goal, that specific market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Fluminense scores the first goal, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team score a goal throughout the entire match—including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra periods—the 'No Goal' market resolves to Yes. In the special case of an own goal, resolution depends on the team to whom the goal is officially awarded, ensuring clarity regardless of how the goal originates.
Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect trader sentiment and can adjust faster to new information. While sportsbooks may offer a static spread or over/under, prediction markets price in real time based on actual bets placed. The gap between the two can be significant, especially if there’s a surprise injury or tactical shift before the match. For traders, this market provides a dynamic alternative to fixed sportsbook odds.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user base, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform’s community may weigh recent news, team form, or historical performance differently, leading to distinct probability assessments. For example, one venue might react more strongly to a key player’s injury, while another could stay anchored to broader league trends. These variations create opportunities for arbitrage or insight into shifting market sentiment.