TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 5:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the outcome of the Torino FC vs. Carrarese Calcio match scheduled for August 15, 2026, focusing on win/draw outcomes within regular time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
This event is for the upcoming Coppa Italia game, scheduled for Saturday, August 15, 2026 between Torino FC and Carrarese Calcio.
The market resolves based on the result of the Torino vs Carrarese professional Coppa Italia soccer game scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Torino wins, its respective market resolves to Yes. If Carrarese wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. On betting sites, odds are set by companies with proprietary models and may include adjustments for sharp money or public betting patterns. In contrast, prediction markets let traders buy and sell contracts directly, which can produce prices that more closely follow pure probabilistic expectations, especially when volume is high. The gap between the two can signal where value lies for each type of bettor.
Differences in user bases and trading activity can cause Polymarket and Kalshi to price this market differently. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more international traders, while another could see heavier participation from local fans, skewing perceptions of team strength. Liquidity levels also play a role—lower volume can make prices more volatile and responsive to single trades, leading to temporary mismatches between the two venues.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions that affect gameplay can all shift this market. Additionally, strong recent form or head-to-head performance updates often influence trader sentiment. Media narratives and pre-match betting trends on traditional sportsbooks may also create momentum, causing rapid price adjustments on prediction platforms as new information emerges.