TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909
kalshi
polymarket

Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909

Volume:
$635,718

Bologna

 - Kalshi

Bologna - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Torino vs Bologna Winner?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bologna

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$66,699
$235,761
0%
0%
$145,189
N/A
polymarket

Bologna FC 1909

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$78,210
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$33,062
$100,780
0%
0%
$44,882
N/A
polymarket

Torino FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77,344
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Torino

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$37,175
$73,999
0%
0%
$42,732
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69,623
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three interconnected prediction markets on the Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 Serie A soccer match scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets track whether Torino wins, Bologna wins, or the match ends in a draw, all evaluated on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only, no extra time or penalties).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's cancellation logic creates a logical impossibility by resolving all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Torino win, Bologna win, draw) to Yes simultaneously. Polymarket's cancellation logic is asymmetric, resolving the draw to Yes but both win markets to No. This creates irreconcilable settlement conflicts if the game is canceled without a make-up date.Hero tip: This is a critical structural flaw. If you are trading these markets, assume the game will be played as scheduled. If any cancellation or indefinite postponement is announced, immediately flag this to PredictionHero support and the platforms. Do not hold positions across both platforms without explicit cancellation clarification from Kalshi. The draw market on Polymarket is the only one that benefits from cancellation; all others face settlement risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Torino Win resolves Yes only if Torino wins in 90+stoppage minutes, No if canceled or postponed indefinitely. Draw resolves Yes if match ends 0-0 or tied after 90+stoppage, Yes if canceled with no make-up (unique asymmetry). Bologna Win resolves Yes only if Bologna wins in 90+stoppage, No if canceled. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (Torino and Bologna) vs. 'this market will resolve Yes' (Draw).
  • Kalshi: Three markets presented as exhaustive outcomes: all resolve to Yes if their respective outcome occurs OR if any outcome occurs (logical tautology). All three markets state they resolve Yes for their outcome, with no explicit cancellation clause. The structure implies all three are mutually exclusive, but the cancellation scenario is undefined, creating ambiguity. Key quote: 'If Torino wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Bologna wins... then the market resolves to Yes' with no cancellation fallback specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.