TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 2:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the probability of AS Roma scoring over 1.5 goals in the second half of their Serie A match against Torino FC. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Predict is 100.0%. Resolution will be based on the official final score published on legaseriea.it. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by the events on the pitch leading up to the final whistle on September 14, 2026 – the estimated date for resolution.
More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for September 14 at 12:30 PM ET.
More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for September 14 at 12:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or disagreement about the likely outcome. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets can become more accurate as more information becomes available and more traders participate in this market. It's valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can differ due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information, leading to distinct market dynamics. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with higher volume on one platform tends to have more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution can influence price formation. For example, Polymarket currently favors 1st Half Spread: Torino FC (-1.5) at 99%, while Predict leans toward the same outcome. These differences highlight the independent nature of each market and the diverse perspectives of their traders.