TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Drake
- Kalshi
Drake - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved May 28, 2026
Closed: May 27, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
One of several notable artists will rank as the #1 artist on Spotify's USA daily chart on May 27, 2026.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this event is priced as a set of binary or categorical contracts representing each candidate artist. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where the price reflects the implied probability of that artist being number one on May 27, 2026. Higher prices indicate stronger market belief in that outcome. Kalshi's order book shows real-time bid-ask spreads, and traders can execute market or limit orders. The platform settles based on official Spotify USA chart data on the resolution date, with payouts distributed to holders of the winning artist's contract.
The market resolves on Jun 10, 2026. Resolution is determined by identifying which artist holds the number-one position on the official Spotify USA chart as of May 27, 2026. The outcome is objective and based on publicly available Spotify streaming data and chart rankings for that specific date. Once the chart is published and verified, the winning artist's contracts are paid out at full value, and all other contracts expire worthless. Traders should monitor Spotify's official announcements and chart updates leading up to the resolution date to track the final standings.
Major album releases and surprise drops from established or emerging artists can shift odds dramatically. Chart performance in the months leading up to May 2026 provides strong signals about momentum and staying power. Viral moments, award show wins, or high-profile collaborations may boost an artist's streaming volume and chart position. Radio play, playlist placements, and media coverage all influence listener engagement. Tour announcements or festival headlining slots can drive renewed interest. Conversely, controversies or competing releases from rival artists may reduce an artist's market share. Traders should track Spotify's weekly charts, music industry news, and streaming data trends to anticipate shifts in the top artist position.
