TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which television show achieves the highest viewership position on the US Netflix Top 10 chart for the week ending on October 10, 2026, as reflected in the chart published on October 13, 2026. Participants speculate on whether specific shows will claim the top spot based on audience engagement over that period.
Kalshi
Each market resolves based on whether a specified show ranks #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show chart published on October 13, 2026, which reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday. All markets share identical secondary rules: Netflix charts update on Tuesdays, so trading will close at 11:59 PM ET the Monday before the chart publication date. None of these markets have any endorsement from Netflix; references to the platform are purely descriptive and not indicative of affiliation or endorsement. The outcome for each market depends solely on the public Netflix chart ranking for the defined week.
Frequently asked questions
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts rely on qualitative assessments and historical data, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of information and potential surprises. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when anticipating events influenced by rapidly changing public opinion or unforeseen circumstances. Comparing this market’s implied probabilities to those suggested by entertainment analysts can reveal interesting insights into differing expectations for the top US Netflix show.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the most watched show on Netflix in the US for the relevant week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on publicly available viewership data released by Netflix or a reputable third-party source tracking Netflix viewership. The market will settle to 100 for the show with the highest verified viewership, and 0 for all other shows. Traders should monitor news sources for official viewership announcements as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. A major marketing push for a specific show, positive critical reviews, or buzz generated on social media could all increase a show’s chances and drive up its price. Unexpected releases of trailers or new episodes could also shift trader sentiment. Conversely, negative publicity or the release of competing content from other streaming services might decrease a show’s prospects. Keep an eye on entertainment news and social media trends to anticipate potential movements in this market before Oct 13, 2026.
