TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 17, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which television show or series achieves the highest ranking on the US Netflix Top 10 chart for the week ending the Sunday before August 18, 2026. Participants speculate on whether specific titles will claim the top spot, reflecting viewer preferences and streaming trends during that period.
Each market resolves based on whether a specified show or series ranks #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show chart published on August 18, 2026. The chart reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday, with all markets closing at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart's publication. No endorsement from Netflix is implied, and all references to Netflix are used descriptively. The outcome for each market depends solely on the chart position of its designated title, with no additional performance metrics or tiebreaker rules applied.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect a blend of expert views and crowd intuition. While analysts may weigh production budgets or star power, traders in this market incorporate real-time viewer engagement signals and social media buzz. That difference can create gaps — for example, a show with strong early buzz might see higher chances here than in some polls. Still, both approaches converge when concrete viewership numbers start rolling in, making this market a dynamic alternative to static ratings predictions.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by the most-watched Netflix show in the United States for that week, as reported by official viewership metrics. No subjective judgment is involved — the result is based on publicly available data, ensuring a clear and objective settlement for all participants.
Several signals could shift odds in this market before Aug 18, 2026. Major marketing drops, celebrity endorsements, or viral social media moments often cause rapid re-pricing. Unexpected events like award nominations or sudden streaming glitches can also sway trader sentiment. Additionally, early viewership leaks or weekend binge patterns frequently create volatility. Keep an eye on trending conversations and promotional schedules — they’re the most common catalysts for movement in this space.