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Top US Netflix Show this week?
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Top US Netflix Show this week?

Volume:
$518,587

The Hawk: Season 1

 - Kalshi

The Hawk: Season 1 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 11:59 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

The Hawk: Season 1

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$131,829
N/A
N/A
$54,940
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ransom Canyon: Season 2

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$124,466
N/A
N/A
$103,536
Settled
No
kalshi

I Will Find You: Limited Series

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$109,735
N/A
N/A
$107,910
Settled
No
kalshi

Little House on the Prairie: Season 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$80,885
N/A
N/A
$73,012
Settled
No
kalshi

The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,894
N/A
N/A
$22,141
Settled
No
kalshi

Raw: 2026 - July 13, 2026

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,554
N/A
N/A
$19,054
Settled
No
kalshi

I'm Not Afraid: Limited Series

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,565
N/A
N/A
$8,565
Settled
No
kalshi

Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,089
N/A
N/A
$7,089
Settled
No
kalshi

Ms. Rachel: Season 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,397
N/A
N/A
$2,397
Settled
No
kalshi

José Totoy 3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,181
N/A
N/A
$2,181
Settled
No
kalshi

Quarterback: Season 3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,992
N/A
N/A
$1,992
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks which show will rank first on Netflix's US Top 10 chart for the week ending July 27, 2026. On Kalshi, the current probability that The Hawk: Season 1 will be the top US Netflix show is 97%. The outcome will be resolved based on Netflix's official chart published on July 28, 2026. Watch for the chart publication on July 28, 2026, to confirm the week's leading show.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on Netflix's official Top 10 US Show rankings published on July 28, 2026, which reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday. The market closes at 11:59 PM ET on July 27, 2026, the day before chart publication. A Yes resolution occurs if the specified show achieves the #1 position on that published chart.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the top US Netflix show market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the current week’s highest-rated show on Netflix in the United States. It also shows 24-hour volume of $86,052 and total volume of $518,587, letting you see how trader sentiment and market activity are evolving as new viewing data emerges each day.

Right now, prediction market odds reflect trader expectations about which show will lead U.S. streaming viewership this week. These odds often differ from analyst forecasts, which may be based on longer-term trends, production schedules, or promotional cycles. Analysts might favor shows with strong pre-release buzz or award-season positioning, while traders react more quickly to weekly viewership reports and social media trends.

On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for the top US Netflix show market through continuous bidding and asking. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current probability reflects aggregated trader sentiment, with market depth and liquidity influencing price discovery. Volume of $518,587 shows trader interest, while recent $86,052 indicates short-term activity shifts. As the week progresses, new releases or viewing patterns can cause rapid adjustments in pricing.

This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the week’s final Netflix viewership figures are verified against credible public sources. The top show is determined by the most recent, authoritative U.S. streaming data released by Netflix or a trusted third-party measurement firm.

Several signals could impact this market before Jul 28, 2026. Major content drops, award nominations, or surprise popularity surges often shift viewer preferences overnight. Platform-specific promotions or technical issues with streaming quality may also alter rankings abruptly. Media coverage highlighting certain genres or creators tends to drive short-term viewing spikes, while subscriber fatigue or competing releases can depress performance equally fast.