TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which film will rank highest on the US Netflix movie charts for a specific week, allowing participants to speculate on viewer preferences and trending content. The outcome depends entirely on Netflix's publicly available rankings at the specified date and time.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published on October 27, 2026, which reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday. Trading closes at 11:59 PM ET on October 26, 2026, one day before the chart update, as Netflix updates its charts every Tuesday. Each market corresponds to a specific film; if that film occupies the number one position on the published chart, the respective market settles 'Yes.' No endorsement or affiliation exists between Netflix and the event operator, and all references to Netflix are purely descriptive. The outcome hinges solely on Netflix's official chart data as of the specified publication date.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts. While many entertainment analysts offer predictions about streaming viewership, these are often qualitative assessments or based on limited data. This market, however, aggregates the informed opinions of many individuals, creating a quantitative measure of belief about which movie will perform best. It will be interesting to see if the collective wisdom of traders in this market aligns with, or diverges from, expert predictions as the week progresses.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the top US Netflix movie for the relevant week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on publicly available data regarding the most-watched movie on Netflix in the United States during the specified timeframe. The outcome will be determined by independent verification of the official Netflix rankings or equivalent data sources, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could significantly impact this market between now and its resolution. Major marketing pushes for specific films by Netflix, critical reviews released during the week, and social media buzz surrounding particular titles are all potential catalysts. Unexpected news related to the cast or creators of a movie could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, the release of trailers or new content related to competing films could influence traders' assessments of which movie is most likely to achieve top viewership. Any significant shift in these areas could lead to notable price movements in this market.
