TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3
- Kalshi
My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3 - Kalshi
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Vol.
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Resolved Aug 18, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 17, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes
Description
This event tracks which television show or series achieves the highest position on Netflix's global rankings during a specific week. Participants can speculate on whether particular titles will lead the charts, reflecting viewer preferences and streaming trends over that period.
Kalshi
Each market resolves based on whether a specified show or series ranks #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show chart published on August 18, 2026. The chart reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday, with all markets closing at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart's publication. All markets operate independently, and none imply endorsement from Netflix. The outcome for each market depends solely on the chart position of its designated title, with no interaction or dependency between markets.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market often reacts faster to real-time viewer trends and social media buzz. While analysts may rely on ratings and historical performance, traders in this market incorporate breaking news, streaming anomalies, and audience engagement spikes. That can create divergence — for example, a show gaining viral traction might see its odds rise sharply before analysts adjust their outlooks.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning show will be the one that Netflix officially reports as having the highest number of global views during the relevant week, closing the market definitively.
Key signals that could shift this market include surprise releases, major social media trends, celebrity endorsements, or unexpected viewing spikes triggered by news events or award nominations. Any data point that alters expectations about audience preferences — even a single viral moment — may cause rapid re-pricing of odds before the market settles.
