TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 27, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Netflix publishes weekly rankings of the most-watched shows globally. This market tracks which show will rank first on the global chart for the week ending July 27, 2026, as published on July 28, 2026.
Resolution is based on Netflix's official Top 10 Global Show rankings published on July 28, 2026, which reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday. The market closes at 11:59 PM ET on July 27, 2026, the day before chart publication. A Yes resolution occurs if the specified show achieves the #1 position on that published chart.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more nuanced or forward-looking perspective. Analysts may rely on release schedules, viewership trends, and historical performance, while traders in this market incorporate real-time sentiment, regional performance spikes, and even social media buzz. The resulting odds can diverge noticeably from traditional forecasts, especially when unexpected surges happen in viewership or when new content drops late in the tracking week.
This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the week’s final Netflix global rankings are verified against credible public sources. The top-listed show at that point determines the result, closing the market and settling all positions based on the actual leader at the close of the tracking period.
Several signals could shift this market before it closes: a major new episode release, a viral marketing campaign, or an unexpected surge in viewership from a particular region. Additionally, competitor shows gaining traction or technical issues affecting Netflix’s reporting can cause rapid swings. Traders will watch weekly viewership updates, social media trends, and any last-minute content drops that might alter the competitive landscape dramatically in the final days.