TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Netflix: #1 global show on Jun 16
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Netflix: #1 global show on Jun 16

Volume:
$11,112

The Witness: Limited Series

 - Kalshi

The Witness: Limited Series - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 17, 2026

Closed: Jun 15, 11:59 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

The Witness: Limited Series

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,516
N/A
N/A
$3,491
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michael Jackson: The Verdict: Season 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,253
N/A
N/A
$2,680
Settled
No
kalshi

The Boroughs: Season 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$179
N/A
N/A
$179
Settled
No
kalshi

Raw: 2026 - June 1, 2026

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
No
kalshi

The Four Seasons: Season 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Nemesis: Season 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$33
Settled
No
kalshi

The Four Seasons: Season 2

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

Lawmen: Bass Reeves: Season 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Instadocs: Alex Murdaugh, Unconvicted

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

A Good Girl's Guide to Murder: Season 2

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

A specific show will appear at the top position on Netflix's global viewership rankings based on the chart published in mid-June 2026.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the Netflix Top 10 Global Show chart published on June 16, 2026. The market will close at 11:59 PM ET on June 15, 2026, the day before the chart publication. The published chart reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday. One outcome resolves to Yes if the corresponding show achieves the #1 ranking on that specific chart date.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts and Netflix's own promotional rankings. While analysts may rely on critical reviews, award buzz, and historical performance patterns, prediction markets incorporate real-money incentives that reward accurate forecasting. Traders on Kalshi synthesize viewership reports, social media trends, and subscriber engagement signals into live odds. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that can shift rapidly as new data surfaces, sometimes leading prediction markets to identify emerging favorites before mainstream entertainment analysts do.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Top Global Netflix Show this week market is priced as a set of binary or multiple-outcome contracts, each representing one show's probability of topping the global charts for the specified week. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where the price reflects the market's collective belief in that outcome's likelihood. As new viewership data, subscriber metrics, and engagement reports arrive, traders adjust positions, moving prices up or down. The current odds for the leading show are displayed in real time, allowing you to track momentum and compare relative confidence across all competing titles.

The Top Global Netflix Show this week market resolves on Jun 16, 2026. Resolution is determined by Netflix's official global top 10 rankings for the specified week, which measure viewership and engagement across all regions. The show that ranks number one on Netflix's published weekly charts at the resolution time becomes the winning outcome. Traders should monitor Netflix's official announcements and weekly top 10 lists as the end date approaches to understand which title has secured the top position and how the market will settle.

Several catalysts can shift odds for the Top Global Netflix Show this week before resolution. Major viewership spikes driven by celebrity news, viral social media moments, or award nominations can boost a show's ranking. Conversely, negative reviews, subscriber churn, or competing releases from other platforms may weaken a title's position. Netflix's mid-week engagement reports and regional top 10 updates provide real-time signals that traders use to adjust positions. New show releases, finale episodes, and cultural events can also influence which title captures global attention and ultimately claims the top spot on Netflix's official charts.