TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which movie will top Netflix's global rankings in a specific week, reflecting viewer preferences and trends in streaming entertainment. The outcome depends on real-time viewer engagement and popular choices over the specified period.
Each market resolves based on whether a specified movie ranks #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published on September 8, 2026. The chart reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday, with all markets closing at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart's publication. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding chart update timing and disclaimers stating that Netflix has not endorsed these markets or products, with references to Netflix being purely descriptive and not implying affiliation or endorsement.
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of factors than traditional analysis, incorporating real-time sentiment and potentially anticipating shifts in viewership that analysts might miss. While analysts may focus on pre-release buzz or critical reception, this market aggregates the wisdom of many traders, potentially offering a more dynamic and accurate forecast of which movie will ultimately be the most popular on Netflix globally this week.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on Netflix’s official reporting of the most-watched movie globally for the week in question. The data will be sourced from publicly available viewership numbers released by Netflix, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome for this market. Traders should monitor news sources for official announcements.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Unexpected critical reviews, viral social media trends, or major marketing pushes by Netflix for a particular film could all shift viewership and, consequently, the odds. Additionally, the release of competing movies on other streaming platforms could impact Netflix’s numbers. Any news regarding cast controversies or unexpected platform exclusives could also influence trading activity in this market, as traders react to changing perceptions of each movie’s potential success.