TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 6:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a specific map in a professional League of Legends match between two teams. The result depends solely on which team secures victory in the second map of their scheduled competition. All outcomes are determined by official tournament results, with specific handling for match or map disruptions.
The event resolves based on the winner of map 2 in the LPL 2026 match between Top Esports and ThunderTalk Gaming, scheduled for August 9, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If either team wins the specified map, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result follows the official determination by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, the current implied probability reflects trader sentiment for the Map 2 winner market. Sportsbook odds often incorporate additional factors such as historical performance and public betting trends. While prediction markets can react more nimbly to real-time data, sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on broader market dynamics and risk management strategies. Both approaches offer unique insights, but they serve different purposes in evaluating the likelihood of outcomes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes. The current top outcome reflects a balance of supply and demand, with the chance percentage indicating market confidence. Volume of $26,325 shows the level of trader interest, while recent trading activity can shift prices based on new information or shifts in sentiment among participants.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the map result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by official match results, and the platform will finalize the market based on that verified data, reflecting the actual esports contest outcome.
Several key signals could impact this market before Aug 9, 2026. Performance in the first map, player injuries or strategic adjustments, and commentary from coaches or analysts may all influence trader expectations. Shifts in team form, unexpected gameplay strategies, or even broader tournament dynamics can cause rapid price movements. As the event approaches, any verified changes in team lineups or match conditions will likely drive further adjustments in market odds.