TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
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KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV
- Kalshi
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 4, 2026
Closed: Sep 3, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Czarface Meets Frankie Pulitzer - "Mad Technology" feat. Method Man (Official Music Video)
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest view count on YouTube's US daily chart for a specific date. Participants can speculate on whether particular songs or artists will lead in viewer engagement, reflecting current trends and audience preferences.
Kalshi
The event determines the top-ranked music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart for September 3, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video; if the listed video achieves the #1 position on the specified chart for that date, the respective market resolves to Yes. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect others. None of the markets or products are endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement between YouTube and the event organizer. The outcome is solely based on YouTube's publicly available chart data for the designated day.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts for popular culture events. While analysts might rely on pre-release hype or artist popularity, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of factors and real-time data. Discrepancies can arise from differing methodologies and the ability of the market to quickly adapt to new information, such as viral trends or unexpected viewership numbers. It’s common to see the market diverge from initial expectations as more data becomes available, offering a unique insight into potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different music videos topping the charts. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that video being the most viewed on YouTube for a given day. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for efficient price discovery and provides a real-time indication of market sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the music video with the highest number of views on YouTube for the specified day will be considered the winning outcome. The data will be sourced from publicly available YouTube analytics and verified against credible public sources. The resolution process ensures an objective and transparent determination of the market’s outcome, based on verifiable data regarding daily viewership.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Unexpected viral trends on platforms like TikTok or Twitter could rapidly increase a video's viewership. Major artist endorsements or appearances in the video could also drive up views. Conversely, controversies surrounding an artist or the video itself could negatively affect its performance. Release dates of competing music videos are also crucial, as they directly impact the potential viewership for each contender. Any significant news or events related to the artists involved could also move this market between now and Sep 17, 2026.
