TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest view count on YouTube's US daily chart for a specific date. It reflects audience engagement and popularity trends in music video content over a single day.
The event determines the winner based on which specified music video attains the top position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart for August 8, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that particular video ranks #1 on the chart for the specified date. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement. The outcome hinges solely on YouTube's publicly available chart data for that day, with no additional qualifications or adjustments applied.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through a continuous order book, adjusting bids and asks based on expected viewership and competition. The current top outcome’s implied probability reflects the collective bet on which music video will lead daily U.S. YouTube views. Volume and open interest show liquidity, while price history illustrates how market sentiment has shifted in recent days.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The result will be based on the most-watched music video in the United States on that specific day, as reported by trusted analytics firms.
Several signals could shift odds before Aug 22, 2026, including surprise releases, viral challenges, celebrity endorsements, or major social media campaigns. Any sudden surge in views for a competing video, platform algorithm changes, or news events impacting artist visibility may also influence trader sentiment. Real-time monitoring of YouTube metrics and social media trends will be key to tracking potential market movement.