TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Dai Dai - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 8, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 7, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest daily view count on YouTube's United States chart for a specific date in 2026. Participants can speculate on whether a particular song's video will lead the chart, reflecting viewer engagement and popularity trends.
Kalshi
Each market outcome corresponds to a specific music video contending for the top position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos chart in the United States for August 7, 2026. The resolution hinges solely on which video attains the highest ranking for that day. All markets operate independently, with each one's success determined exclusively by its respective video's performance against others on the chart. None of the markets imply endorsement from YouTube, and references to the platform are used descriptively to clarify the source of data and the nature of the contest.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants buy and sell contracts representing different music videos. The current probability reflects the collective judgment of all traders on that platform. With a volume of $922 and 24-hour volume at $922, the market shows how expectations shift daily. Any significant change in viewer numbers or trending topics can move the price quickly, making it a live barometer of audience interest rather than a static forecast.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The winning video will be the one that holds the top position on YouTube’s daily chart for the specified date, as reported by authoritative tracking services.
Between now and Aug 21, 2026, several signals could shift this market. Major social media trends, celebrity endorsements, or unexpected controversies around leading videos often cause rapid price swings. Real-time YouTube analytics — like sudden spikes in view counts or comment activity — may also influence trader behavior. Additionally, any last-minute releases or promotional campaigns from artists could reshape expectations. As the resolution date approaches, even small shifts in daily viewership can dramatically alter the odds on this market.
