TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
For a specific day, the most popular music video in the United States is identified through YouTube's chart, showing which video resonates most strongly with American audiences based on view counts and engagement metrics.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified music video ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 6, 2026. These markets are independent, and secondary rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed the markets, with references to YouTube serving only as descriptive terms.
Unlike sportsbook odds, which may factor in broader entertainment betting trends, prediction market odds for this market reflect the aggregated wisdom of active traders on Kalshi. These odds can diverge significantly because they are driven purely by buyer-seller activity around the specific question of which music video will top the US daily chart, without external bookmaker adjustments or broader market influences.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning music video will be the one that records the highest number of daily views on YouTube for the United States on that day, as reflected in authoritative industry sources and YouTube’s official data.
This market could shift based on viral trends, major social media pushes from artists or labels, platform algorithm changes on YouTube that affect view counts, or unexpected news events that boost a specific video’s popularity. High-profile performances, collaborations, or controversies surrounding competing videos may also cause rapid price swings as traders adjust their expectations on Kalshi leading up to Aug 20, 2026.