TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
AH HA
- Kalshi
AH HA - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 1, 2026
Closed: Aug 31, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which music video will achieve the highest view count on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos chart in the United States for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends in music video content over a single day.
Kalshi
Each market resolves to Yes if its specified music video ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated August 31, 2026. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that YouTube has not endorsed these markets or products, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no affiliation between YouTube and the event organizer. The outcome for each market is determined solely by the chart position of the named music video on the designated date.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a blend of popular opinion and early momentum trends. Where analysts might weigh long-term artist performance or release schedules, traders react swiftly to viral snippets, social media spikes, or remix buzz. This can create noticeable gaps — for example, a video gaining traction organically might see its chances rise sharply here, even if traditional forecasts remain muted. Monitoring both sources offers a fuller view of pre-release hype.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. On that day, YouTube’s official Daily Top Music Videos chart for the United States will be examined, and the video occupying the number-one spot determines the result. No subjective judgment is involved — the publicly recorded chart data alone settles the market.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 14, 2026. Major music releases, viral challenges, celebrity appearances, or news events that boost a song’s popularity may cause rapid price changes. Additionally, platform algorithm updates or seasonal viewing trends in late August could alter trader expectations. Any surprise collaboration or high-profile performance in the days leading up to August 31 may also dramatically affect odds.
