TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest view count on YouTube's US daily chart for a specific date in 2026. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends for newly released or trending music videos during that period.
The event determines the top-ranked music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart for August 30, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that particular video holds the number one position on the specified chart for that date. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive. The resolution hinges solely on YouTube's official chart data for the given day, with no additional performance or contextual factors influencing the outcome.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding, with the current odds reflecting the aggregated expectation of which video will top US YouTube daily views. The market uses a logarithmic pricing model that ensures rational pricing while allowing for rapid adjustments as new information emerges, such as a sudden spike in view counts or a major promotional push.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning video is the one that tops YouTube’s official US daily chart for that day, determined by the platform’s published data. No further interpretation is needed — the highest-viewed upload speaks for itself.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 13, 2026. Major artist promotions, viral challenges, or cross-platform content releases may drive sudden spikes in viewership. Conversely, technical issues or algorithm changes on YouTube could suppress certain videos. Real-time social media trends, playlist placements, and any last-minute collaborations involving high-profile artists are also key drivers that traders will watch closely as they reassess probabilities.