TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 27, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest view count on YouTube's U.S. daily chart for a specific date in 2026. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends for newly released or trending music videos during that period.
The event determines the top-ranked music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart for August 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that particular video holds the number one position on the specified chart for that date. All markets share the same resolution criterion, based solely on YouTube's official chart ranking. None of the markets imply endorsement from YouTube, and references to YouTube are used descriptively to indicate the source of the chart data. The resolution is contingent on the chart's publication and accuracy as presented by YouTube on that day.
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a blend of popular opinion and trader speculation about viral trends. Analysts may emphasize chart performance or promotional campaigns, while traders react faster to social media buzz or unexpected events. This gap can widen when a new contender emerges, as market prices adjust rapidly to real-time sentiment rather than waiting for formal reviews or data releases.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning video will be the one that tops the U.S. daily YouTube music video rankings on the specified date, as measured by an authoritative, widely accepted source. No additional criteria or judgments are needed — the market settles based on observable data.
Several signals could shift odds in this market before Sep 10, 2026. Major chart-topping releases, viral trends, celebrity endorsements, or high-profile performances might boost a video’s view count rapidly. Conversely, technical issues, algorithm changes on YouTube, or strong competition from newly uploaded tracks could weaken positions. Any surprise collaboration or media coverage in the final days before resolution may cause rapid price swings as traders adjust their bets.