TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video will achieve the highest view count on YouTube's US daily chart for a specific date in 2026. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends for newly released or trending music videos during that period.
If Dai Dai ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sunflower ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Choosin' Texas ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Golden ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Life Goes On ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pooh Shiesty - Reap What You Sow [Official Audio] ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026 ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Janice STFU ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dead Fresh ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If ICONIC BY MISTAKE ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beat It ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ghetto Love Story ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If FDO ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders continuously bid and ask for contracts representing possible outcomes, setting a market price based on supply and demand. The current implied chance reflects collective trader judgment of which video will lead daily U.S. view counts. Volume of $0 shows overall engagement, while price fluctuations respond to news, releases, and viewing patterns.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning result will be the music video with the highest number of daily views in the United States on the specified date, as reported by authoritative metrics sources.
Several signals could sway this market before it settles. Major YouTube algorithm updates might boost certain genres or creators, shifting expected viewership. High-profile social media endorsements, especially from influencers with massive followings, could drive sudden spikes in interest. Contenders releasing surprise music videos or high-production visual content around late August or early September 2026 would likely reshape trader expectations. Additionally, any controversy or backlash involving leading artists may cause rapid repricing. As Sep 6, 2026 nears, real-time view-count monitoring and platform trending metrics will become critical, often producing sharp movements in odds during the final days.