TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest view count on YouTube's U.S. daily chart for a specific date. It reflects audience engagement and popularity trends in music video content over a single day, offering insight into real-time viewer preferences.
The event determines whether any of the specified music videos rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart for August 21, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different music video, and resolution depends solely on achieving the top position for that date. All markets explicitly state that YouTube has not endorsed these products, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement between YouTube and the event organizer. The outcome for each market is binary—Yes if the respective video ranks #1, No otherwise.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current implied chance reflecting the probability of each music video achieving the top daily position. The platform updates these prices instantly based on order book activity, and volume of $0 shows overall market participation. Prices adjust rapidly to new data such as surprise releases or viral moments.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The winning music video will be the one that achieves the highest daily views in the United States according to official YouTube data for that specific date, ending all trading activity and determining final payouts for market participants.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including surprise releases from major artists, viral challenges that boost video views, or last-minute collaborations that gain rapid traction. Media coverage and social media trends often drive sudden spikes in viewer numbers, while any controversy surrounding leading candidates might cause rapid price adjustments. Daily view counts and trending metrics will be key drivers.