TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest view count on YouTube's U.S. daily chart for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends in the music video landscape, capturing how certain tracks or artists resonate more strongly with audiences on a given day.
The event determines the outcome based on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos ranking for the United States on August 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to Yes if that particular video ranks #1 on the chart for that date. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation. The resolution hinges solely on YouTube's official chart data for the specified day, with no additional qualifications or adjustments applied across markets.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through open order books and liquidity pools, driving the implied probability toward what they believe is the most likely outcome. Market depth and volume of $766 help smooth volatility, while any major shift in viewer engagement or viral moments can quickly reprice the odds.
This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The winner is determined by the most-watched music video on YouTube for the specified day, reflecting real audience behavior rather than predictions or rankings.
Key signals include sudden spikes in view counts, influencer endorsements, or viral challenges tied to specific songs. Awards season buzz, playlist placements on streaming services, or controversial moments surrounding artists can also shift trader sentiment. Any development that alters public interest overnight may dramatically move this market as the Sep 3, 2026 deadline approaches.