TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest view count on YouTube's U.S. daily chart for a specific date. Each market represents a different song or artist, and the outcome depends on which one tops the chart that day.
If Dai Dai ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sunflower ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Choosin' Texas ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Golden ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Life Goes On ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026 ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If ICONIC BY MISTAKE ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Reap What You Sow ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Janice STFU ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ghetto Love Story ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Be My Friend (The Verity Band) ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dead Fresh ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beat It ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Big Guy ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Aug 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price of contracts representing different music videos through continuous trading. The current implied chance reflects aggregated bets and order book depth, adjusting dynamically as new information emerges about viewership, viral trends, or chart performance. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows rapid response to breaking news and shifting public interest.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning video will be the one that achieves the highest daily views on YouTube’s US charts on the specified date, as reported by authoritative music chart compilers and YouTube’s official analytics.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major social media virality, celebrity endorsements, music industry award nominations, or unexpected controversies surrounding competing videos. Real-time viewership spikes, especially during live events or promotional campaigns, may also cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess the likelihood of each video maintaining or gaining dominance.