TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 17, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest view count on YouTube's US daily chart for a specific date. Each market corresponds to a different music video, with the outcome determined by the video's ranking position on the specified day.
The event determines the top-ranked music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart for August 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that particular video secures the #1 position on the chart for that date. All markets share the same resolution criterion, based solely on the chart ranking, with no additional conditions or tiebreakers specified beyond the primary rule. Secondary rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets and that any references to YouTube are purely descriptive.
On Kalshi, this market uses trader submissions to set its current probability, reflecting collective expectations about which music video will lead in daily US YouTube views during the specified period. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see represents the percentage of traders betting on each possible outcome, adjusted for liquidity and recent trading activity. As the event approaches, early indicators such as pre-release promotions, artist announcements, and early view counts may shift probabilities. The market remains open until resolution, allowing continuous adjustment based on new information and shifting trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is the music video with the highest number of daily views on YouTube in the United States for August 17, 2026. No additional criteria or judgment calls are needed — the result is based purely on that day’s verified YouTube data.
Several signals could influence this market before Aug 31, 2026. Major artist announcements, such as surprise releases, collaborations, or high-profile music videos from competing artists, often create rapid shifts in trader sentiment. Real-time performance metrics — including early view counts, engagement rates, and viewer demographics — may also affect pricing as the competition heats up. Additionally, external factors like viral trends, media coverage, and platform algorithm changes on YouTube can impact visibility and, consequently, this market’s odds in the weeks leading to resolution.