TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Dai Dai
- Kalshi
Dai Dai - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 16, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 15, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest view count on YouTube's US daily chart for a specific date. Participants can speculate on whether particular songs or artists will top the rankings, reflecting real-time viewer engagement and popularity trends.
Kalshi
The event determines the outcome based on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart for August 15, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video; if the listed video ranks #1 on that chart for the specified date, the respective market resolves to Yes. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The charts reflect YouTube's official daily rankings, and all references to YouTube are purely descriptive, with no implied endorsement or affiliation between YouTube and the event organizer. The outcome is solely dependent on chart position, with no additional performance or contextual factors considered.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds reflect trader expectations for which music video will lead daily views in the U.S. These odds can diverge from analyst forecasts, which may emphasize different factors such as artist popularity or promotional campaigns. Monitoring both can provide a fuller picture of potential outcomes for this market.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning music video will be the one with the highest number of daily U.S. views on YouTube for that specific date.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 29, 2026. Major music releases, viral challenges, celebrity endorsements, or high-profile performances might boost a video’s visibility. Conversely, technical issues, controversies, or competing content could suppress views. Real-time YouTube analytics, social media trends, and media coverage will also influence trader sentiment and adjust odds as the resolution date nears.
