TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Dai Dai - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 15, 2026
Closed: Aug 14, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which music video will achieve the highest view count in the United States on a specific day, reflecting real-time viewer engagement and popularity trends. The outcome depends entirely on audience preferences and viewing behavior as measured by YouTube's official charts.
Kalshi
The event determines the top-ranked music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart for August 14, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video occupies the #1 position on the chart for that date. The resolution is based solely on YouTube's publicly available chart data. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect crowd-sourced expectations that can diverge sharply from expert predictions. Traders may price in viral trends or platform algorithm shifts analysts overlook. While analysts offer curated opinions, this market aggregates rapid, decentralized bets that often react faster to breaking news or social media spikes.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning video is the one that tops US YouTube’s daily rankings for that date, as measured by the platform’s official metrics. No further interpretation is needed — the highest-viewed video that day wins.
Signals like early viral clips, celebrity endorsements, or trending challenges can shift this market quickly. Major social media spikes, cross-platform shares, or unexpected collaborations may also sway trader sentiment. As the date approaches, real-time view counts and YouTube’s algorithm updates will be key drivers, often causing sharp price swings in the final days.
